Despite at least a half-dozen polls in the past six weeks, including the Albuquerque Journal's front-page poll this weekend, showing Heather Wilson down by from 8 to 13 points, Wilson just announced that she is actually winning and has the poll to prove it.
But there is one catch, you can't see it. Wilson is either lying, created her own poll to mislead voters (you can do this by skewing your universe, asking misleading questions, etc) or somehow made up an eight-point gap in four days. Any one would be a story.
Wilson released a polling memo but not the questions or full methodology behind it. According to the memo, Public Opinion Strategies conducted the poll on Oct 21-22, just one day before the Journal's simliar statewide poll. What's the difference? If we believe Wilson's poll, she was down by 9 on October 9-11, gained all of that and then some to be up by one on October 21-22 and lost it all on October 23rd when the Journal polled. One of these polls doesn't line up.
Polling watchers will remember the last time POS did polling for Wilson (9/12/12) they showed her just 4 down, while other polls conducted on either side of the POS poll maintained Heinrich's lead at 8 and 9 points. Maybe POS is called POS for a reason?
We call B.S. and in the tradition of Donald Trump, call on Wilson to "show me your papers!"
Read the Wilson email for yourself:
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Bryce Dustman <firstname.lastname@example.org>
Date: Mon, Oct 29, 2012 at 11:39 AM
Subject: in the lead
To: Friend <>
A new poll shows Heather leading Congressman Heinrich for the first time this race, demonstrating what she has done in the final weeks of every general election -- closed the gap to win.
The poll shows Wilson leading Heinrich 44 percent to 43 percent, with Independent American Party candidate Jon Barrie pulling 6 percent of the vote and leaving 7 percent undecided.
Will you donate right now to keep our momentum going?
Your contribution helps us make more Get Out The Vote calls in the final days.
Also, did you see that the Albuquerque Journal endorsed Heather on Sunday?
The Journal understands that Congressman Heinrich is the wrong choice to represent New Mexico in the United States Senate.
This is a big win for our campaign and our momentum continues to build as we head into the final week of the campaign.
Will you please donate right now so we can continue to get our message out? We need to make sure that everyone knows about the Albuquerque Journal endorsement.
Your support is critical in this final week. It is the most important time for our campaign since this is when many voters start to tune in.
P.S. This race is a dead heat. Your support no matter how big or small helps us Get Out The Vote.